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[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]Forecast for South-east European Centre for climate change shows that the coming winter will be very soft in some parts of the Balkan Peninsula, the average monthly temperatures will be about 5-6 degrees above normal.
According to this source and the three winter months will be overweight temperatures, monthly anomalies will be from 2-3 to more than 5 degrees in some regions, such as a large part of the Danube plain. Rainfall amounts as estimates of the Centre will be a normal, between 50 and 75 percent of them, and for some regions and less than 50 per cent (less than half of normal levels).
Other climatological and forecasting centres do not provide such unusual abnormalities in the winter months. According to NOAA (the U.S. agency for oceans and atmosphere) December will be even slightly colder than usual in our region and the two winter months will be within the normal range in relation to temperature. Similar or close to them are climatologists forecast for the Italian Mediterranean and the Balkans, and the Beijing Climate Centre in China.
As for the autumn months of this year, for them there is relative unanimity: September will be warmer than usual, it is true to some extent for October and November will be about normal. Forecast as the Belgrade climatologists would sound exotic to only 5 years ago, but relatively recently, the winter of 2006/2007 was very close to their forecast for the coming.
Then the January temperatures in the Danube plain in some places were more than 5-7 degrees above normal and the lowest measured temperatures in cities, where double-digit negative minimum temperatures are common, and some were even above zero degrees.